by
FoolBritannia
@ 2008-03-21 - 16:53:16
Well, what a difference a month makes, when I last spoke to you the English media were full of stories of Lord Levy and his arrest and subsequent bail in relation to the cash for honours scandal. For those of you who don't recall, it was alleged that Lord Levy, Labour's Chief Fund-raiser, and long time tennis partner of Tony Blair, had told potential doners that there were, quid pro quo; peerages available in return for a cash. Imagine that........a politician manipulating people with a promise or two......whatever next!
One month on, and although the names have changed the story remains the same. Whilst I could have written a tome on the British Marines capture in Iranian waters and the spin placed on the story by Tony Blair's team, the true news is murkier than the Shatt Al Arab waterway. With just 3 weeks until local elections, and the likely start of the Labour leadership contest, Lord Levy and his shenanigans have for now at least drifted from the papers, as the column inches are increasingly given over to quiet deals and understanding nods between cabinet ministers, keen to buy themselves favour with whoever they feel has the best chance of taking over from Tony Blair.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Gordon Brown's is the busiest at this time, flirting with both the public, and potential candidates who could try and oppose him in the forthcoming Labour leadership contest. It is widely expected that Blair will announce his departure from office in early May, and to that end Brown, the political cuckoo, is pretending to everyone that he is more than just an oversized chick in the prime ministerial nest so long occupied by Tony Blair. So, in last months budget statement the previously prudent Brown did his best to please the public by reducing income tax by 2p and promising to remove 600,000 pensioners from paying tax.....surely a vote winner.
Well it would have been if someone hadn't pointed out that Brown will claw back most of the £8Bn this will cost by scrapping the lowest rate of income tax completely, meaning that everyone will pay income tax sooner, hitting low wage earners the hardest! Nice one Gordon......
No doubt in part as a result of this, and the revived row over tax credits being scrapped, Brown has seen his popularity tumble, with the latest poll in the Sunday Times reporting that 57% of people think the chancellor is “unfit” for the role of Prime Minister.......ouch, not good with only a few weeks to go till the beauty parade kicks off in earnest.
So in the last couple of weeks Gordon Brown has taken a more direct approach to canvassing for support, by announcing some of the things he would change if he were to have the top job, leaving the merest suggestion of positions of power for his would be opponents should they decide to side with him.................Levy's got nothing on Brown when it comes to empty promises!
On Thursday this week it was reported he would create a green “super Ministry” disbanding the Department of Trade and Industry and hiving off responsibility for oil and gas to a new environment super minister. By many this has been seen as a potential pay off for the current Environment Minister and Brown's greatest threat to the leadership, David Milliband, should he choose not to stand against him.
The DTI's remaining responsibilities would be split between two other ministers, John Hutton, and Ruth Kelly, no doubt in a bid to keep them on side during Brown's leadership campaign. Hutton, the Minister for Work and pensions, is widely rumoured to have used the F-bomb when describing how poor a PM he thought Brown would be, and this manoeuvring could be seen as Brown throwing a bone to the dog to keep him quiet during these crucial weeks.
But back to David Milliband, the ex-head of Blair's policy unit, and major aid to Blair in his rise to becoming the PM. Cleverly, Milliband has continued to let time tick by and .........“more or less”........ support Brown whilst allowing every other Blairite in the country to call for him to stand as leader of the Labour party. With every passing minute and hour, support seems to grow for Milliband who just occasionally lets his true feelings shine through the façade. Last month during a broadcast of BBC One's political discussion program “Question Time”, Milliband said what he must have been thinking for months, that Brown would be an unpopular choice with the electorate . I guess sometimes its tricky to keep your true feelings repressed............especially when there's a BBC One film crew about and a leadership contest on the horizon!
Milliband, 41, some 15 years younger than Brown, is seen as an ideal Labour party Leader. Known as Blair's Boy wonder, he could potentially meet head on the challenge from the fresh faced Conservative Leader David Cameron, who is seen as appealing to younger voters, also being just over 40. Milliband, who has support from several political big hitters, is without doubt a real threat to Brown if he chooses to stand rather than take the cushy super ministry that seems to be on offer. For what its worth, I think he will stand against Brown...............get the necessary 45 supporters to challenge him for the leadership..............and probably win, bringing Charles Clarke back from the political desert as Home Secretary.
There are other potential threats to Gordon Brown, John Reid, the current Home Secretary, Alan Johnson, the Education Secretary, and Peter Hain, the Northern Ireland Secretary, all of which could stand and make a surprise bid for leadership. Reid, who it has to be said has limited support amongst his peers will struggle should he be bull headed enough to stand. Johnson and Hain quite frankly have more to gain my making a bid for the deputy leadership and waiting their turn.......there are others more worthy of running our country than an ex postman, and a one time South African campaigner for human rights who now defends ID cards and the use of extraordinary rendition..........ah hypocrisy at its best!
So with less than a month before the crucial local elections, that will surely signal the beginning of the end for Blair, and the end of the beginning for at least one hopeful, where does this leave us?
Well, for the first time in years I am genuinely excited about British politics, it fact not since the days of Margaret Thatcher and Neil Kinnock has there been such a promise of a truly titanic political punch up. The next couple of months could see the whole of the British political landscape change, what with the leadership contest, and the elections for the Scottish and Welsh devolved governments, which could so easily slip away from Labour. And whilst this all will no doubt spell the end for several glittering careers and see some of our greatest political minds being pushed out of office............quite frankly....... I don't care......I'm enjoying every last minute of it. It's times like these that we really see who is connected to the right people and who can call in favours to save their backsides.
So until next time, from the bottom corner of the little island to your right, I invite you dip into our media just once or twice over the next month, there's a whole lot more to come from the cuckoo and the clock watcher as they battle it out for the job at the top.